For a class of at least 32-34 students we had to deiced what the rest of the world would be like if there were only 100 people. The sheet of paper that we had to give our estimations on included a lot of possibilities and diverse features of civilization. So each student wrote down their estimation of how the World of 100 would stack up. 



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I was shocked at the overall data for those living on less then 2USD because my answers and the overall class average are roughly close to each and the correct averages were at about 47. I found it interesting that my answers were considered the highest because I was expecting a majority of people to live on less then 2USD where in reality and according to the correct answers it is actually fairly lower then my average and the class average. I was expecting the correct answers to be fairly high like my average. The data set for those living on more then 2USD shocked me as well because considering the fact that there are only 100 people living in the world I would expect, not many living on 2USD. I was surprised when the correct answers showed to be higher then 50 people living on more then 2USD. The class average seemed fair to me because it was in between not to little and not to much. 



The literacy levels for the males who are able to read and write didn't shock me as much because I was right on task. I was roughly close and I had a good overall understanding although I wasn't as close to the correct answers. I didn't feel like anything could have been changed for my answers or the overall class average because of the different opinions people put into it. The males who are unable to read and write surprised me because I was expecting the correct answers to be similar to my results and to the class averages but the outcome turned out to be the exact opposite. The correct answers resulted in having a fairly low amount of males unable to read and write where I thought it would be significantly higher amount. The females who are able to read and write didn't surprise me considering the fact that the correct answers and my answers were similar to one another. Where the class average surprised me because it was lower then my average and the correct answers. The females who are unable to read and write surprised me as well because the correct answer and my answers showed similarities but I was confused by how off the class averages were.   


I was confused by my data because it my head it made sense to have a low amount of cell phone subscribers because previously I had assumed that there were very little, persons getting more then 2USD and therefore I assumed that the results I chose were relevant. The non cell phone subscribers caught me by surprise as well because my answers were fairly high and so was the class average but the correct answer were low. I believe that this happened because of my previous decision of the cell phone subscribers. I assumed the same thing for the internet users, the fact that I had chosen very little, persons getting more then 2USD and that if affected how many active and inactive internet users there are. I was surprised by high my answers were for the inactive users and how low they were for active internet users. The class average surprised me because the results from the class and the correct answers were fairly similar and at about the same place for one another. My results were the only ones off.

I would say the most accurate would probably be in the category of literacy involving the female gender. I think this was the case because in my head in the past many females were very intelligent and knew many things about learning how to write and read. I think that overall in this case that it made sense to me to have majority rules because there weren't many peoples to base it off of. The most inaccurate would probably be in the technology section involving cell phone users. I think this is because of the way I answered previous date involving the poverty rates.
The poverty levels shocked me the most because considering the fact that there are only 100 people I never thought to settle more then half of them on more then 2USD. I expected it to be fairly lower and I expected a majority of them to be living on less then 2USD.
I would say that I was on spot several times and way off at other times because throughout the results and the averages overall I realized that not everything I decided would match up and I knew I would be off. My results resulted in the way the did because of previous decisions I made on the previous topics at hand. I based my overall answers on other topic answers I have chosen.

Electricity Usage:


My prediction about what percent of people in the world have electricity in their homes is completely opposite the actual amount of people that have and don't have electricity worldwide. My classmates were more accurate than I was with this prediction, but were still not right in their numbers. It turns out that more people have electricity in their homes worldwide than do people that don't have electricity in their homes. 

Geography:




My Prediction on the distribution of people in the continents of the world was also inaccurate. My predictions were pretty similar to what my classmates thought in most cases for this category. In reality, there are a lot more people in Asia than there are in all of the other continents. Africa has the second highest population of people, Europe the third highest, Latin America the fourth highest, and North America is the continent with the least amount of people in the world. 

World Languages                                                                                                                                                           

The Amount of people who speak other languages in the world is much higher than the amount of people that speak english, Chinese, or even Arabic. My numbers, once again, are the complete opposite of the actual data. 

Part 4: 

I was off on all of the categories that I graphed. Many times the numbers that I put down were completely opposite the actual data. I was very surprised to find out that more people in the world don't know English. A small 5 % of people in the world know English. More people in the world know Chinese, at 12%, than the percent of people who know English. I thought that because America is a pretty huge role model in world wide and because so many people of different countries come to America for work, that there would be a large amount of people who knew English around the world. Looking at the correct data, however, it makes sense that Chinese is spoken by a relatively big percent of the world population because of all of the business that cooks up in China. It also surprised me to find out that 78% of the world population have electricity in their homes. I guessed that about 30% of the same would have electricity at home because in my eyes, I have always seen countries like the United States, Europe, and some parts of Asia as rich, while other countries in Asia, Africa, the Caribbean, and Latin America were poor. I thought that there was only a small percent of people in the world in certain countries who could afford to have electricity in their homes, while the rest were too poor to afford it. I was wrong. I guess that the countries that were once underdeveloped and under-equipped have received help from more powerful allies and have been able to come up with the resources that they did not have before. Though I was off with my production of population distribution in world countries, I was not surprised to find that the largest percent of the world population lives in Asia. I am pretty sure this is because Asia is the largest continent covering the East side of the world. More countries are considered part of Asia than in any other continent. 

Below are three charts that represent what the world would look like in several categories if the entire population were only 100 people. The blue bars are my answers, the red bars are the average of all my classmates answers, and the yellow bar is the actual statistic.




Personally I was surprised by how off I was with this prediction, I suppose I'm a bit (maybe a lot) of a pessimist, but when I think of large third world countries, I imagine the vast majority of those people do not have clean water (perhaps partially in thanks to large campaign fundraisers to help put pumps into third world country villages) and that it is rarer than it actually is.

I was pleasantly surprised by how accurate I was with this prediction of mine. I expected that the majority of the population would be in the largest age bracket (15-64), and that there would be more children than seniors because as people grow old and die, obviously those numbers will decrease; morbid to say the least.


Again, I was surprised by how many have access to electricity, I had previously believed it was a rarer commodity than it actually is.

1. Which categories were you most accurate? inaccurate? Explain why you think that was the case.
   -I was most accurate when it came to the general age breakdown of the population. I believe this is because I have a pretty good grasp of how longevity breaks down and various generation booms. I was very inaccurate when it comes to access to various utilities (clean water and electricity). I think this is because I have the idea that America is the land of extravagance and luxury, and so I associate somethings we take for granted (clean water and electricity) as being rarer than they really are.
2. Which of the real/correct answers shocked you the most? Explain.
   -I was surprised at how many people have access to electricity. I can see clean drinking water being relatively common because there are many relatively simple methods of purifying water (boiling comes to mind), but I have a hard time understanding how accessible electricity is. I imagine that electricity takes a huge infrastructure to provide for a town, but maybe it's more efficient than I had previously thought.
3. If you were way off course in your predictions, explain why it is that you feel that happened. If you were spot on, explain why you think that happened.
   I was way off course for my predictions on access to clean water and electricity and I imagine I've developed a bit of a pessimistic view of the outside world. Not necessarily the idea that the U.S is the greatest country or anything like that, but really that clean water and electricity are more difficult to obtain. Also, when I hear about how many people live on less than $2 USD a day, I have a hard time imagining them paying for electricity on top of basic living expenses (food, clothing etc).

In our globalization class, we did a study on how the world would be divided if there were only 100 people. We'd first would make and estimation on the how the world would be in different categories such as what would be the most popular religion, poverty, etc. Then we would take a look at what the class came together as a collective average. We would compare both these numbers to the real percentages of numbers. In my data, I have come to see that my numbers were much closer to the class average then to the real numbers. None of my estimations came close to the real numbers. I think this is the case because I was a little more bias in my estimates. For example with geography, I choose to use africa as the place where the most people are from. But in the other categories, my classmates and I were very close in our predictions. I think this was possibly the case because of the way we are living today and how we live our lives. We only have a single story of what the rest of the world is like compared to our own. The numbers that I really found stagering was the amount of people that would be from North America. My instincts would tell me that the source of life is from Africa, and that is what shifted my thoughts. My estimations weren't completely off, but they were definitely not close to what I expected them to be. The reason I think we chose the numbers we did was because of the way we live today and the different views we the world. 

Though the only correction I had was my choice of 0-14(28) being close to the right answer of 0-14(32), I had he right concept where 15-48 would be majority of the 100, 0-14 will be the 2nd rank, and 55+ is minority of the 100. I was not too shocked with the real/correct answers for the ages. Like I mentioned earlier, both my choice and the right answer had the same concept. Why I think this correct concept would be of the ages is because the ages between 15-48 are like the in betweens of the ages. Like you're growing towards your young adult hood and living your "mid-life" where as to the ages between 0-14 are just too young but there are a lot of kids and 55+older...not to sound cruel but going back to like the previous centuries not as much of us were able to have access to the proper medicine and just new diseases that we were exposed too. So around those centuries, it was common for majority of 55+ to die at a young old age. 





The right answer for geography was too much of a shock for me. Asia with 60% of the population can be true but I would of thought that Africa would have more people than Asia. My answers were the total opposite of the right answers.




Other language was one of my low choices but came to be the opposite of the right answer. I would expect that either chinese, english, or spanish would be the most spoken language but it came to be the few.